πŸŽπŸ‘‰ 74% Place strike rate…

...To lose...

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It's Friday!

I am thinking of having a lunchtime climb today for an hour so I can go out with some mates tonight.

They have a Retro Computer evening at the maker space.

It's not really my cup of tea, but it's the only chance I get to meet up with them sometimes :-)

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Morning!

I had another idea for AW (all weather)  "place/Lay" method.

I want to call it a "method" rather than a system because it probably still has some work to make it better...

...And you may want to think a little about the market, place payouts and that sort of thing.

The results are based on standard bookie payouts:

1 – 4 runners No Places – Win Only bet (betfair could have a place market)
5 – 7 runners   1st & 2nd place only
8+ runners  1st, 2nd and 3rd place
16+ runners (handicapped races only)  1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th place

Betfair do not change place payouts for non-runners, so you need to be a bit careful.

So far, the strike looks around 74% with an average losing price of 1.62 (0.62 if -1).

Longest losing run so far has been 3, but you know that means nothing.

I have done a small amount of filtering to get the list, which I started posting on FB and Discord yesterday.

Let's see how they perform over the next few days (or when there are AW meetings).

I am always nervous about "lay" methods but because it is "Place", the liabilities tend to be lower.

If you can find one of these a day and make a 1-point profit (0.98), then that could be interesting.

Just so you know, so far I have only improved these a little.

Just remember, there will be losers, and this is a test!
...

My Wednesday BTTS choice won.

One member had put a £10 Trixie/Treble on my 3 selections that would have paid out £15,000 if it had won.

I had 2 out of 3 :-(

Interestingly, I have had full winning days and you only need one of those to come in and "Happy Days".

If you'd like to find out how I find my daily BTTS selections, then check out the  BTTS strategy guide here.

https://bluebelldata.thrivecart.com/bttsfp/

Until Next time

Malcolm

I create the tools so you can find the winners.

P.S. The new BTTS Strategy Guide is out.
 
I am calling it the "Only BTTS strategy guide you will ever need"
 
 
https://bluebelldata.thrivecart.com/bttsfp/

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