...Twiston-Davies...
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I have had to write this with one of my smaller dogs on my lap.
She had to go to the vets yesterday for an ear flush, under anaesthetic...
...And today she is feeling very sorry for herself:-)
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Hi there
I have had three out of three winners so far this week on my "False Favourites".
https://bluebell.lpages.co/false-favourites/
Yesterday was:
14:15 Haydock Solid Performer (I got 2.64)
"I am not sure the horse will like the drop in trip, Ballyeaston is interesting and maybe Sam can pull something out of the bag"
Sam Twiston-Davies won on Chemoulin at 8.20 (Thanks Sam :-) )
...I also had a Full House on the LTD selections that I have been posting in the FB group on Tuesday.
7 out of 7 :-)
Haven't looked at last night's results yet but here they are.
17:30 Bodrum v Igdir Belediyespor 3.65
19:00 Honved v Diosgyori 3.80
19:30 Thun v St Gallen 3.90
19:30 Radomiak v Arka Gdynia 3.95
20:00 Tottenham v Crystal Palace 3.50
20:10 Lyon v Lens 3.70
Sorry, these are only available on FB at the moment.
Staying on Football...
...I have been playing around with some really interesting statistical models that try to predict what will happen in a football match.
I have been modelling things like...
When the first goal may be scored...
...Or even the likelihood of a goal...
...As well as the chances of a draw actually happening.
A lot of it is based on cross-referencing multiple markets and creating a pricing model.
It's really interesting to look at a match and see all these figures in front of you, giving you a feel for the game.
I have even started adding a traffic-light system to make it easier to spot games that could be interesting.
Because it uses Betfair prices, you can even use it on in-play matches.
I am not sure if it is a tool you would be interested in...
...But I thought I would show you anyway.
Until Next time.
Malcolm
I create the tools so you can find the winners.
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