...And racing stuff...
-------------------------------------------------------------------
It's Friday!
Now I have got into Mig welding I am going to spend the weekend coming up with some garden projects for next year.
I am thinking of a strawberry plant pot holder or something to give support to the Cucumbers :-)
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Morning!
A couple of things this morning.
You may remember the other day I put a piece of Beta Software in the Greyhorse bot members area which alerts you to certain markets.
It can help you find markets like the "Place" where the payout covers at least 50% of the runners.
So a 4TBP market with 8 or fewer runners in it.
I mentioned I had been using TTS to help me select the runners...
...and I had another successful selection yesterday when I got "I'm Too Tired" (12:05) at a price of 2.36.
I am deliberately selecting runners over 2.00 mostly at the moment but remember if you can make 1/2 point a day on average (50% of your stake)...
...and compounded 4% of your winnings onto your next stake then within a year you could be making a fair amount per win.
Check out the Trade Growth Spreadsheet for more on that idea.
https://greyhorsebot.co.uk/tps.asp
Anyway, yesterday I tried the "Pace" angle but I am still looking at other stats as well.
Don't forget we don't need these runners to win...
...they just have to beat half (or maybe less) of the field :-)
Click Here to find out more about the Greyhorse Bot.
https://greyhorsebot.co.uk/
Ok, so yesterday I gave you some football stats and I had a few of you write in and give me your ideas.
Lay-the-draw ideas are always popular and it's interesting to see people's different ideas on that market.
Anyway, I thought I would give you some more football facts to play around with.
How often does the Home Team win: Home teams win approximately 45-50% of matches in most top leagues, showing a clear advantage from playing at home. (My European database shows this at exactly 45%)
A Goal After the 85th Minute: Roughly 12-15% of matches see at least one goal scored after the 85th minute (I have a system that uses this exact method to back on the 85th minute!)
Substitutes affect on matches: Substitute players account for about 10-12% of all goals in professional football, highlighting the impact of strategic substitutions.
Corner Conversion Rate Average: Only about 3-4% of corners result in a goal, despite their perceived danger as attacking opportunities.(Interesting)
Likelihood of a Match Having Over 2.5 Goals: Around 50-55% of matches in top leagues end with more than 2.5 goals scored, making it a common betting line (My database shows this as 49%)
Teams Leading at Half-Time That Go on to Win: Teams leading at half-time win about 70-75% of matches, emphasizing the importance of a strong start.
(I think that stat should be clarified a little because if it is a home team winning, then they go on to win 80% of the time but if the away team is winning, then they only go on and win 72% of the time. So the average looks around 76% of the time.
Percentage of Matches Ending in a Draw: Around 25-30% of matches in most leagues end in a draw, with 1-1 being the most common scoreline.
A goal Just Before Half-Time: Teams that score in the 5 minutes before half-time have a 60% chance of winning the match, as it often shifts momentum.
Let me know if you have had enough of these facts.
Click Here to find out more about the Greyhorse Bot.
https://greyhorsebot.co.uk/
Until Next Time
Malcolm
I create the tools so you can create systems.