...If you can, oh and something free...
-----------------------------------------------------------------
It was a great weekend catching up with familly and friends.
My great neice is so cute and just at that age where you can have some good fun playing games :-)
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Morning!
Bernard has posted a lot about front runners and his way of trading them.
Last week he posted his method for finding them...
...Which basically started a few months ago when he decided to go through the results and look at the comments and mark down the runners that had led from the front.
This is how I explaine it in the FB group.
"There are no official "Front runner" ratings, so as Bernard showed that the only way to build them is to look at the race comments and then interpret what the race report says about the runner.
This is what I do on my pace ratings for Pr Ratings.
So, for example, a frontrunner could have these words.
"led", "took keen hold", "made all", "pushed up to soon lead", "soon lead", "in lead", "clear lead", "overall leader" or even "slight lead".
Now, depending on what you are looking for you could only look for horse that "Led", "In Lead", "Overall Leader", "Clear Lead" or maybe even "slight lead".
I took them all as a horse that was in the lead or got into the lead quite quickly.
So in TTS, PR ratings these are ranked as "1" in the pace ratings.
"Just behind" are ranked as 2, "midfield" as 3 and "behind" as 4.
Again, these all have words to describe how they ran the race or the first part of the race, anyway.
So you may want to have a think about the exact words to you are going to look for and those that you are going to reject.
So if you want pace ratings then you can use the ones in PR Ratings.
Click Here to find out more about PR Ratings.
https://prratings.co.uk/
So a little freebee for you.
Last week Dan posted in the FB group about Backing 0-0 and laying the draw for the same liability.
As an example:
We back 0-0 for 8.00 at £1, which means we could win £7.00 (8-1)
The lay price is 4.5 so we divide £7.00 by 3.5 (4.5-1) giving us a stake of £2.00
If the match ends in a 0-0 we scratch the trade because we win £7.00 on the 0-0 correct score market and lose £7.00 on the lay the draw.
If there is a goal then we should have a chance to trade out.
There are a few things you should know.
1. If you don't get out after the first goal and it ends 1-1 or any score draw, you will lose your 0-0 stake and the liability on the lay.
2. Two goals are scored so closely together that you cannot trade because it was one for each side. Again, you could be in danger of losing your 0-0 stake and the liability on the lay.
3. If a goal is scored early, especially by the underdog (happened to me yesterday), that could mean you cannot trade out for a profit.
So this has to be a trade unless it looks like finishing 0-0.
Anyway if it something you want to play around with I have created a calculator for you can use to work out the Lay stake.
http://cashouttrading.com/calc1.asp
If you want to pick matches to use with it then check out the Smart Goal Strategy here:
https://bluebelldata.thrivecart.com/tc-yhjxv-sgs/
Until Next time
Malcolm
I create the tools so you can find the winners.
---------------------------