...Back/Lay Match Odds...
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The thing I love about going to make space (Apart from the natter) is all the new things you can learn.
I often show people around who are interested in Joining and often I say:
If you want to make a box Maker Space gives you the choice to 3D Print it, Lazer Cut it, Make it out of Metal, Wood carve it and even use the craft store to come up with other ideas :-)
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Morning!
*System Builder Tips* Check for anomalies in your historical data. Horses priced over 20.0 BSP win about 4% of the time on average, so frequent big-priced winners may indicate an outlier, not a sustainable trend..
Staying with football today and carrying on from what we discussed yesterday.
One of the things that were thrown up in the results we have been checking is backing and laying the two teams in the same match.
Match odds give you 3 possible outcomes.
Home team to win
Away team to win
Draw.
It is the 3rd market that allows you to run different strategies depending on the prices.
The Draw allows us to Dutch in a lot of cases the H and A team and if you are really brave you can back one to win and lay one to lose...
...Or even include one of the Teams and the Draw Market.
If you want a tip then a Home Team wins are a good place to start purely because the stats show them to be so.
That's not to say you will back any home team to win but it is a place to start.
If you can find matches where you can Back the Home Team and Lay the away team they can be interesting.
How does that work?
Well, the worst result is that the Away team wins because you will lose your back stake and your lay stake.
If the home team does win then you win on that market and the lay market.
If it is a draw you still lose your back stake but you win your lay stake.
As with any strategy you can not think about this as one game...
...But what happens over a number of games?
Just concentrate on games where you think there is a really good chance of the home team winning and weigh your stakes from there.
Don't forget to paper test this for quite a while first so you know you are selecting well.
I do like Dutching these matches but I am also now testing this Back and Lay idea.
And just so you know it doesn't always work...
...the first Match I selected yesterday using this strategy...
...The away team won!
But I have quite a few other selections to say it shouldn't happen that often.
Just hit reply if football interests you because I want to figure out if you want it or not :-)
On another note.
I have been dutching maiden races again lately like the ones I suggest in the "Dutching Software".
Check them out they work well.
https://www.cashouttrading.com/dutching.asp
Until Next Time
Malcolm
I create the tools so you can create systems.