...Really, you are going to believe that?...

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It's Friday!

No plans so far this weekend except for the normal.

Dog walks, a ride on the bike and probably play in the man cave  :-)

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Morning!

The old "Back Testing" thing is funny.

People complain about it but you have to find clues somehow.

Statistics, past results or anything that just looks backwards does exactly the same thing...

...But if we don't trust some of these things, we would just be knocking our heads against a brick wall all day.

Maybe "trust" is the wrong word but they are "Clues" to help us.

We will trust people who randomly make comments that "This won't work" or "That won't won't work" often without any basis for the statement...

...except they heard someone else say it!

But this can stop us from testing ideas and finding edges ourselves.

If someone comes to me and says I have tried this for 100, 500 or even 1000 selections...

...And it really doesn't work, then that is real data.

But if someone just says "I doubt if that will work", Or "Why would that work?" or "There is no chance that will work" and has not actually tried it...

...Then that is no good to anyone.

Maybe you can profit by looking at all the favourites running today and using some checks to pick out one that has the best chance...

...Maybe you can't. But have you tried it?

Yeah, that is a bit "Tongue in cheek" but the point is there are hundreds of ways, maybe thousands of ways to select runners each day.

Maybe deciding to test one idea for the next 30, 60 or 90 days may pay off.

You won't know unless you try.

Or you can make it easier on yourself and use PR Ratings.

Click Here to find out more about PR Ratings
https://prratings.co.uk/

Until Next time

Malcolm

I create the tools so you can find the winners.